BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024

Georgia State 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

Georgia State 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 30.00 25.52 (-4.48) 24.27 21.05 (-3.23) 21.05 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 418.08 384.59 (-33.49) 363.27 350.98 (-12.30) 350.98 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.71 5.16 (-0.55) 5.40 5.15 (-0.25) 5.15 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 31.17 33.96 (+2.80) 30.36 31.75 (+1.39) 31.75 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 398.33 400.82 (+2.48) 409.91 411.12 (+1.21) 411.12 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.69 5.71 (+0.02) 6.42 6.33 (-0.09) 6.33 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-08-31 Rhode Island Non-FBS Opponent W 42-35 1-0
2023-09-09 Connecticut 28.84 16.36 -12.47 45.20 70.01% W 35-14 2-0
2023-09-16 @Charlotte 27.42 17.53 -9.89 44.95 65.87% W 41-25 3-0
2023-09-21 @Coastal Carolina 23.10 27.83 +4.73 50.93 42.41% W 30-17 4-0
2023-09-30 Troy 14.05 30.11 +16.06 44.17 24.25% L 7-28 4-1
2023-10-14 Marshall 27.34 26.18 -1.16 53.53 51.86% W 41-24 5-1
2023-10-22 @Louisiana 28.65 33.84 +5.19 62.49 41.68% W 20-17 6-1
2023-10-26 @Georgia Southern 30.51 34.76 +4.25 65.28 43.18% L 27-44 6-2
2023-11-04 James Madison 19.09 37.21 +18.11 56.30 20.95% L 14-42 6-3
2023-11-11 Appalachian State 28.77 37.26 +8.49 66.04 36.38% L 14-42 6-4
2023-11-19 @LSU 20.90 62.46 +41.56 83.36 0.10% L 14-56 6-5
2023-11-25 @Old Dominion 22.35 25.35 +3.00 47.70 45.19% L 24-25 6-6
Postseason
2023-12-23 @Utah State 33.17 37.59 +4.43 70.76 42.90% W 45-22 7-6

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
7-6 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-12 0.10%
2-11 1.19%
3-10 5.15%
4-9 13.19%
5-8 22.14%
6-7 24.57%
7-6 18.91%
8-5 10.20%
9-4 3.51%
10-3 0.90%
11-2 0.13%
12-1 0.01%